Drought is one of the most significant and recurring natural hazards affecting South Africa, with far-reaching consequences for water security, agricultural production, food security, and livelihoods. As a water-scarce country with highly variable rainfall – particularly across the semi-arid interior – South Africa is especially vulnerable to prolonged periods of below-normal precipitation and the associated depletion of surface water and groundwater resources. Climate change is projected to intensify drought frequency and severity across many parts of the country, making early warning, monitoring, and response capacity increasingly critical.
The resources below provide access to drought monitoring and early warning systems at both national and global scales, covering agricultural drought indicators, standardised drought indices, and famine early warning tools relevant to South Africa and the broader southern African region.
Data Sources & Links
South African Weather Service (SAWS) – Seasonal Forecasts — seasonal rainfall outlooks are essential for anticipating drought conditions ahead of time
CHIRPS Rainfall Estimates — long-term rainfall data useful for identifying drought trends
Southern Africa FEWS NET — more detailed southern Africa food security and drought outlook reports from the Famine Early Warning Systems Network
PDSI (Palmer Drought Severity Index) data — a widely used standardised drought index
Copernicus Global Drought Observatory — European drought monitoring with global coverage including Africa
South Africa Specific
DWS Drought Reports & Weekly Dam Levels — the DWS drought portal consolidates official government drought information and declarations
DAFF/DALRRD Drought Disaster Declarations — useful for researchers tracking formally declared drought disasters by province or district
Global drought monitoring systems
Global Agricultural Drought Monitoring and Forecasting System (GADMFS - CSISS)
See Also (Related WRO Pages)
Dam Levels — dam storage is a direct indicator of drought severity
Climate and Weather Data — rainfall and temperature data underpins drought analysis
Stream Flow — reduced streamflow is both a symptom and consequence of drought
Groundwater — groundwater depletion is a key dimension of prolonged drought
Agriculture — agricultural drought impacts are closely tied to water availability